Will there be an AI culture war in 2025?
Plus
101
Ṁ96002026
53%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is Casey's high-confidence prediction from the 1/3/25 episode of the "Hard Fork" podcast.
Market will resolve to yes if there is at least one U.S. Congressional hearing in 2025 devoted primarily to the political bias of AI chatbots, or particular responses given by an AI chatbot. Otherwise, it will resolve to no.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will the sentience or consciousness of AI become a left/right culture war issue before 2026?
15% chance
Will the "culture war" come for AI before end 2024?
11% chance
Will there be a war over AI before 2035?
18% chance
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?
33% chance
Will an anti AI Cult exists by 2027?
77% chance
If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?
74% chance
Will there be an AI Winter by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Are we about to hit another AI winter in 2025?
7% chance
Will AI-related news in 2025 have a bigger media impact than covid19-related news had in 2020?
21% chance
Will AI be smarter than any one human probably around the end of 2025?
16% chance