Before which day (excluding the day) will Iran launch a direct attack on Israel’s territory (including economic waters) in retaliation of Haniyeh’s assassination?
Iranian proxies don’t count, as well as attacks not aimed at Israeli territory. Day starts at 00:00 Israel time. Will resolve by time of launch as reported by reputable media sources, not time of hit. Launching an attack would suffice, it doesn’t have to hit the target.
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Someone bought M500 Oct 1 yes to 96% after midnight had already passed…
@nsokolsky Iran is a pathetic weakling state. Continuing to bet they’ll be too scared to retaliate.
@traders I’ve added monthly options until tge end of the year; Due date extended.
@LiamRutherford Iran is all talk and no show. They’re a pathetic state in terms of military capabilities. They knew that Israel could annihilate a huge percentage of their critical infrastructure within hours if they tried a serious counter attack, so they’ve chickened out and didn’t do anything.
@JesWolfe So far, your prediction of big losses hasn't materialized.
I'm so far +90% profit on this market (all of which came from no bets, of course).
At time of me writing this the highest remaining number is 17%, which is a lot more reasonable than before and offers me far less profit margin.
Worry about possible steamrollers if you wish. I picked up a bunch of the money and made it home, and they're still not in sight.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/16/world/middleeast/iran-israel-hamas-cease-fire.html
They've chickened out, just as expected.
@MaxArvo 1k No at 51% for 2h, if you would like to continue buying yes.
