Will SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2028?
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18
Ṁ1080
2029
14%
chance

Resolves YES upon any successful launch into a suborbital trajectory, conditional on it being capable to boost to orbit (regardless of if that succeeds). Resolves NO on close

#Space
#Olivia
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What does "capable" mean? Has to have a rocket stage with enough delta-V attached or something? How far along the flight does it have to be successful to count?

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