Will SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2026?
Plus
21
Ṁ14922027
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES upon any successful launch into a suborbital trajectory, conditional on it being capable to boost to orbit (regardless of if that succeeds). Resolves NO on close
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
How many times will Electron launch in 2025?
Will SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2028?
14% chance
Will Rocket Lab successfully reuse an Electron Booster by EOY 2025?
1% chance
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?
16% chance
Sam Altman Announces SpaceX Competitor by EOY 2026
4% chance
Will Chris Lakin win an emergent ventures (EV) grant by EOY 2025?
32% chance
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2030?
17% chance
Will Logan Thrasher Collins win an emergent ventures (EV) grant by EOY 2025?
45% chance
Will I launch a startup by the end of 2026?
25% chance
Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?