Who will be the Taoiseach of Ireland on 30 April 2025?
17
Ṁ2253
2025
40%
Other
25%
Mary Lou McDonald
17%
Leo Varadkar
11%
Simon Harris
6%
Micheál Martin

The next Irish general election will be held by March 2025 to elect the 34th Dáil, the lower house of Ireland's parliament, the Oireachtas. It will elect TDs across Dáil constituencies of between 3 and 5 seats. The Dáil will then nominate a Taoiseach, who will nominally be appointed by the President of Ireland.

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@Blomfilter This market is for Taoiseach (head of government).

If Conor McGregor runs for President that's a different role. I've made a separate market for that:

https://manifold.markets/Lui/who-will-be-elected-president-of-ir

I’ll add the next Fine Gael leader here once they’re appointed. Related question:

https://manifold.markets/Lui/irish-politics-who-will-be-the-next?r=THVp