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Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
18
𝕊857
in 5 hours
99.5%
CDU/CSU
0.3%
AfD
0.2%
Other

German Federal elections are scheduled to take place on February 23, 2025.

This market will resolve 'Yes' to the party which wins the most seats in the Bundestag. The other answers will resolve to 'No'.

This market will be extended as necessary if delays occur.

#Germany
#German Politics
#Elections: World
#Elections
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Maybe more important than the single vote shares of each party would be the sum of the shares of the parties within each of the two main opposing blocks with realistic chances for chancellor. Think about, what if the SPD and Greens formed some official alliance in the next Bundestag or when negotiating a coalition with the CDU/CSU parties? Then the "winner" heavily depends on the question whether SPD and Greens combined get more seats than CDU/CSU! See this market for some probabilities.

This question is underdefined. CDU and CSU are separate parties.

@nikki https://www.deutschland.de/en/topic/politics/the-cducsu-parties-in-the-german-bundestag

also: https://polymarket.com/event/germany-parliamentary-election?tid=1738893701420

CDU/CSU: the sister parties
The sister parties CDU and CSU, known as the “Union” for short, form the traditionally strongest party in Germany. Read here what they stand for.

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