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This market matches OpenAI's pre-mitigation preparedness scores from the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.
This market will use AI Digest as its resolution source.
Each answer is independent and will resolve to yes if an AI system released by OpenAI has a pre-mitigation score fulfilling each answer's requirements.
Which AI systems count?
Any AI system publically reported (not neccessarily released) by OpenAI.
The sweepstakes market for this question has been resolved to partial as we are shutting down sweepstakes. Please read the full announcement here. The mana market will continue as usual.
Only markets closing before March 3rd will be left open for trading and will be resolved as usual.
Users will be able to cashout or donate their entire sweepcash balance, regardless of whether it has been won in a sweepstakes or not, by March 28th (for amounts above our minimum threshold of $25).