What will Kamala Harris’s exact vote share be in California in the 2024 election? (Margin of Victory Challenge Mode)
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Ṁ14k
Dec 1
8%
<59%
23%
[59%-60%)
28%
[60%-61%)
28%
[61%-61.5%)
4%
[61.5%-62%)
1.2%
[62%-62.5%)
1.1%
[62.5%-63%)
1.1%
[63%-63.5%)
1.2%
[63.5%-64%)
1.2%
[64%-64.5%)
1.1%
[64.5%-65%)
1.1%
[65%-66%)
1%
[66%-67%)
1%
67% or more

Probably the hardest margin of victory market I’ve designed. Buckets in half-percentage points.

Previous 4 elections: 61%, 60.2%, 61.7%, 63.5%.

Based on DDHQ. Including third parties.

#️ Politics
#🇺🇸 US Politics
#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election
#2024 US Election
#Kamala Harris
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bought Ṁ50 <59% YES

Guess it wasn't that hard.

Easier version

Only 2% undecided in this poll

Assuming she gets 2/3 of undecideds, that’s a ~59.67% win

reposted

Have fun with this one 😉

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