Will more people vote for Kamala Harris in the 2024 Presidential election than voted for Joe Biden in 2020?
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141
Ṁ39k
Nov 22
1.4%
chance

Dave Leip's numbers will be used for resolution. According to Dave Leip, 81,286,454 people voted for Joe Biden in the 2020 Presidential election.

If more than 81,286,454 people vote for Kamala Harris in the 2024 Presidential election, this market will resolve YES.

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#️ Politics
#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election
#Joe Biden
#Kamala Harris
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@Tripping This can easily resolve NO, she has 71M votes with almost everything counted

bought Ṁ24 NO

This is the easiest no ever. 2020 raw voter turnout won’t be surpassed for another 20 years at least

filled a Ṁ1,000 NO at 30% order

I don't think ppl realize how much of an anomaly 2020 was.

Unless you think mail-in etc. really is the new normal

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_presidential_elections_by_popular_vote_margin

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