Resolution Criteria:
The market will resolve as "Yes" if:
Gwern publishes a standalone book available in print form before December 31, 2026
The book is authored solely by Gwern and is not part of a collection including works from multiple authors
The market will resolve as "No" if:
Gwern does not publish a standalone book in print form by December 31, 2026
Any published work is part of a collection with multiple authors
For the purpose of this market:
A "standalone book" is defined as a written work authored solely by Gwern, not part of an anthology or collection with other authors
The book must be available for purchase in physical print format
Resolution Sources:
Official announcements from Gwern or his representatives
Listings on major book retailers (e.g., Amazon, Barnes & Noble) confirming print availability
Reputable news articles or reviews confirming the publication
Closing Date:
This market will close for trading on December 31, 2026, or when a qualifying book by Gwern is officially published and available in print form, whichever comes first.Additional Notes:
The resolution does not depend on the book's content or subject matter
Digital-only publications do not qualify for a "Yes" resolution