MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
In case of a war with Iran before 2050, will Saudi Arabia runs out of water for its population?
Mini
8
Ṁ177
2050
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolve to NAN if there are no war between Saudi Arabia and Iran before 2050.

Running out of water meaning: 1 000 or more people in Saudi Arabia die from lack of water in a single month.

The war assumes an official declaration of war.

#️ Wars
#Iran
#World
#Geopolitics
#Climate
#Global Macro
#Saudi Arabia
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
2 Comments
Sort by:

This is very specific

Official declarations of war are very rare by now. This may be too restrictive.

Related questions

Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
12% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?
+13% 1d51% chance
Will there be a so-called "nuclear Saudi Arabia" by 2050?
16% chance
When will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan before 2030?
Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
2% chance
Will there be a war between Israel and Iran before January 2026?
-5% 1d13% chance
Will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan before 2030?
+4% 1d31% chance
Will Iran attack Saudi Arabia before 2026?
22% chance
Will there be a civil war in Saudi Arabia with more than 100 000 deaths before 2050?
19% chance
Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?
39% chance

Related questions

Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
12% chance
Will there be a war between Israel and Iran before January 2026?
13% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?
51% chance
Will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan before 2030?
31% chance
Will there be a so-called "nuclear Saudi Arabia" by 2050?
16% chance
Will Iran attack Saudi Arabia before 2026?
22% chance
When will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan before 2030?
Will there be a civil war in Saudi Arabia with more than 100 000 deaths before 2050?
19% chance
Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
2% chance
Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?
39% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout