Over 5 million attend No Kings Day events in US on Oct 18?
14
Ṁ299
Oct 22
64%
chance

I will be betting YES

  • Update 2025-10-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Attendance numbers will be based on reports from reputable news organizations, not organizer estimates.

  • Update 2025-10-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator provided an example of what would qualify as a valid source for resolution: a reputable news organization (such as Axios) reporting attendance numbers with specific figures (e.g., "More than 5 million people took part...").

  • Update 2025-10-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has provided an additional example of a valid source: a source that is not based on organizer estimates. Resolution will be based on reports from reputable news organizations that provide their own attendance counts, not just organizer estimates.

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Will you rely on organizer estimates? If so, I will also bet YES.

@CraigDemel No, reputable news organization.

@MichaeldelaMaza and what if they won’t be able to count it?

@MindBenderMads Who is "they"?

@MichaeldelaMaza the reputable news organization. They didn’t seem to be able to count them last time either, or at least I couldn’t find any number

@MindBenderMads For example: "More than 5 million people took part in "No Kings" demonstrations in over 2,100 cities and towns across the country, with an additional 300 "Kick Out the Clowns" rallies being held." https://www.axios.com/2025/06/14/no-kings-protests-usa-june-14-trump-military-parade

@MichaeldelaMaza yes boss, according to the counting made by the organizers , that s what it say everywhere.

@MindBenderMads Yes, the reason they're reputable is that they make sure to be clear that they are only organizer estimates.

@MindBenderMads I don't see that in the Axios article. Here's another source that is not based on organizer estimates AFAIK: https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/no-kings-day-protests-turn-out-millions

@MichaeldelaMaza For Axios, it's in the headline:

@CraigDemel Thank you