The EA community will have a major split/conflict between progressive and rationalist EAs before 2030.

Will there be an EA organisation that donates >$1M/yr using a democratized mechanism before 2025?

Will any other large AI organization have a big public leadership conflict before 2028?

Will EA community deploy and actively use a DAO by 2027?

Will there be a high-profile power struggle at Anthropic before 2026?

Will EA split into 2 parties before 2025?

Will there be an EA organisation that donates >$10M/yr using a democratized mechanism before 2025?

Will any states split themselves into smaller pieces by 2028?

Will there be another EA billionaire by the end of 2025?

Will members of the EA community create an EA-focused university by 2030?