Will EA split into 2 parties before 2025? | Manifold

Will EA split into 2 parties before 2025?

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@NathanpmYoung Before 2025? Or before EOY 2025?

If one of the parties refuse to call themselves 'EA', how does this resolve?

predicts NO

The AI risk party and the everyone else party?

bought Ṁ1 NO

The correct party and the losers who cannot shut up and multiply.

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Related questions

If no other big events happen and there is a big inter-community listening exercise, will EA split into 2 parties before 2025?

Will there be an EA organisation that donates >$1M/yr using a democratized mechanism before 2025?

Will there be an EA organisation that donates >$10M/yr using a democratized mechanism before end of 2025?

EA will have a noticeably less sexually libertine culture in 2025 for the 90th percentile EA, than before 2023, looking back.

Will EA be out of business within 3 years?

Will EA community deploy and actively use a DAO by 2027?

Will there be an "EA university" or similar institution by 31 December 2027?

Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?

Will EA renounce utilitarianism as a guiding principle by the end of 2030?

The EA community will have a major split/conflict between progressive and rationalist EAs before 2030.