As per the latest update from the Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics, the Palestinian population of the Gaza strip as of the beginning of 2025 was estimated at 2.1 million, about 160,000 less than at the start of the Israel-Hamas war in October 2023. Source: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/1/1/gaza-population-falls-6-percent-since-start-of-war-statistics-agency-says

A further decline to below 1.5 million over the next five years would indicate some combination of further civilian deaths and emigrations (voluntary or forced) on a large scale.

This question will resolve YES iff reliable sources (the PCBS if it still exists, or other regional sources or news organizations) estimate the number of Palestinians living in the Gaza Strip as of the beginning of 2030 to be strictly less than 1.5 million.