Will AfD become the biggest party in the following german elections
17
Ṁ635
2029
26%
chance

This market will resolve to YES if the AfD wins the most seats in the next German federal election (expected in 2029).

This market will resolve to NO if any other party wins more seats than the AfD in the next German federal election.

If there is a tie for the most seats between the AfD and another party, this market will resolve to YES.

The resolution will be based on the official election results as reported by the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) of German

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@NinoSchneider Will CDU and CSU count as one (the Union) or two different parties?