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Whole brain emulation will come before de novo AGI
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2999
15%
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Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2046?
86% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
26% chance
Will we get AGI before 2040?
77% chance
Human whole brain emulation before 2100?
80% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2048?
90% chance
Conditional on no AGI, will a human brain be uploaded before 2053?
38% chance
Real-time whole human brain emulation runs before end of 2038 (not necessarily an 'upload' of a specific human).
29% chance
Will the first human level AGI be Neuromorphic/WBE rather than Prosaic?
30% chance
By when will we have AGI?
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