Will the first human level AGI be Neuromorphic/WBE rather than Prosaic? | Manifold

Will the first human level AGI be Neuromorphic/WBE rather than Prosaic?

Mini

7

Ṁ347

2048

30%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

Sort by:

predicts NO

Why is this closed?

By "prosaic AI", I assume you mean neural networks only, and not first-principles decision-theoretic approaches?

predicts YES

@IsaacKing Yes, the latter would resolve the market as N/A

Related questions

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

-4% 1d20% chance

Will we consider the first AGI system to be neuro-symbolic?

Will AI create the first AGI?

Will an AGI be trained on cheap, accessible hardware before 2040?

Will the first robotic AGI be developed using a transformer-like architecture?

Will a SotA AI model be trained to think in "neuralese" instead of human language by the end of 2030? (ACX, AI 2027 #5)

Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Will a humanoid AGI be used in a public setting by the end of 2025?

What will be true about the first AGI that becomes accessible to everyone? [ADD MORE]

Related questions

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

Will a SotA AI model be trained to think in "neuralese" instead of human language by the end of 2030? (ACX, AI 2027 #5)

Will we consider the first AGI system to be neuro-symbolic?

Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?

Will AI create the first AGI?

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Will an AGI be trained on cheap, accessible hardware before 2040?

Will a humanoid AGI be used in a public setting by the end of 2025?

Will the first robotic AGI be developed using a transformer-like architecture?

What will be true about the first AGI that becomes accessible to everyone? [ADD MORE]