Will there be a tangible policy change as a result of the Potomac airline crash?
➕
Plus
12
Ṁ1401
Mar 1
74%
chance

An American Airlines passenger plane that departed from Wichita, Kansas, and a U.S. Army Black Hawk helicopter collided near Reagan National Airport Wednesday evening and crashed into the Potomac River, according to law enforcement, a statement from the airline and people familiar with the incident.

The crash Wednesday night comes after a string of close calls at Reagan National Airport and other airports, beginning in early 2023, that had alarmed officials and the airline industry.

In May 2024, an American Airlines flight aborted a takeoff at National Airport after it was at risk of colliding with a private jet. There had been a similar incident the previous month involving a Southwest Airlines plane and a JetBlue Airways flight.

The Federal Aviation Administration views close calls as a sign that the aviation system is under stress and gathered industry leaders early in 2023 to begin trying to address the problem.

The agency planned to install new technology to help warn air traffic controllers when aircraft were at risk of collision. It also took steps to boost hiring and to address complaints of fatigue among controllers.

The National Transportation Safety Board has investigated several of the most serious cases, and lawmakers have held hearings to spur the FAA to action.

The crash is likely to renew debate over safety at Reagan National Airport. Last year, as part of legislation to fund the Federal Aviation Administration, Congress added five additional round-trip flights at National. The decision came over the objections of members of the D.C.-area congressional delegation, who have long argued that the airport is at capacity and that adding more flights could compromise its ability to operate safely.

Resolution criteria: “Tangible” will be up to my own discretion, but for example I would consider a forced reduction in the number of flights as tangible. I will not bet on this market.

  • Update 2025-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification Details:

    • Administrative reviews and personnel changes (e.g., orders to review policies and fire individuals) do not by themselves count as a tangible policy change.

    • Only if such reviews result in a substantive change to policy (beyond just a review or personnel adjustment) will it be considered tangible.

    • The final determination of what constitutes a tangible policy change remains at the creator's discretion.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:

Does this count:

"Consistent with the Presidential Memorandum of January 21, 2025 (Keeping Americans Safe in Aviation), I am further ordering the Secretary of Transportation (Secretary) and the Administrator of the Federal Aviation Administration (Administrator) to review all hiring decisions and changes to safety protocols made during the prior 4 years, and to take such corrective action as necessary to achieve uncompromised aviation safety, including the replacement of any individuals who do not meet qualification standards."

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/immediate-assessment-of-aviation-safety/

@KaylaG hmm I would say no, as he is basically just asking them to review policies and fire people. If in reviewing the policies, they make a substantive change, then it would count.

reposted

Let’s hope for change!