Will more than 6 million Jews leave the US by 2045?
4
Ṁ13732044
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
@JussiVilleHeiskanen I would assume at resolution it will be an aggregation of annual statistics - which means it's possible for an individual to be double counted. Evaluation of this market is subject to change though. I assume if such a massive trend were to occur more salient datasets+analysis would surface.
Related questions
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?
8% chance
Will More Than 1 Million Jews Immigrate to Israel in the years 2024-2027?
11% chance
Will the "core" Jewish population of the USA be greater than that of Israel by 2030
15% chance
Will more than one million people be deported from the United States in 2025?
13% chance
Will the Jewish population of the world be greater in 2030 than in 2020?
90% chance
What portion of US Jews will identify as Democrats in 2031?
60% chance
Will the United States have a Jewish president by end of 2040?
19% chance
Will over 1 million non-citizens be deported by the US in 2025?
13% chance
Will the United States population cross 350 million by end of year 2025?
1% chance
🇮🇱 🇵🇸 What will be the Jewish proportion of the population in Israel and Palestine in 2035?