Will more than 50% of humans born before 2023 and still alive by 2050 exist in a biological substrate? | Manifold

Will more than 50% of humans born before 2023 and still alive by 2050 exist in a biological substrate?

Plus

11

Ṁ488

2050

78%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Conditional on humans not getting extinct. If the answer can't be determined due to a large amount of humans being in an ambiguous state, this resolves to N/A.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

Sort by:

Can you clarify what this question is actually asking? It's unclear, at least to me

predicts YES

@JoshuaWilkes I believe it’s primarily a question about brain emulation

predicts NO

Will any humans born in 2023 exist in 2050? By 2035 the life expectancy will be 10 and the adult death rate will be 90% a year.

Related questions

Will humans born between 1990-2000 be able to live for 150 years?

By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Will any human who was never in a human womb reach 1 year of age before 2032?

Will a year without a "normal" human birth occur before 2050? [See Description]

By what year will there be more human alive than humans dead?

Will I be alive through 2052?

-5% 1d88% chance

Will 50% of the human population die in a 12 month time period before 2050?

By the start of 2033, will at least a billion people be alive?

Will I be alive at the start of 2050?

Will a human clone be born before the end of 2035?

Related questions

Will humans born between 1990-2000 be able to live for 150 years?

Will I be alive through 2052?

By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Will 50% of the human population die in a 12 month time period before 2050?

Will any human who was never in a human womb reach 1 year of age before 2032?

By the start of 2033, will at least a billion people be alive?

Will a year without a "normal" human birth occur before 2050? [See Description]

Will I be alive at the start of 2050?

By what year will there be more human alive than humans dead?

Will a human clone be born before the end of 2035?