Conditional Election market - Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?
βž•
Plus
15
αΉ€620
2032
17%
Conditional on the next US president being a Republican, will they lift the embargo on Cuba?
34%
Conditional on the next US president being a Democrat, will they lift the embargo on Cuba?

Base rate market:

Resolves N/A for the party which is not elected. Resolves YES if most economic sanctions against Cuba are removed. Resolves YES even if a small subset of products remain controlled, or if specific individuals withing Cuba remain sanctioned.

#πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US Politics
#Geopolitics
#Us-Cuba relations
#Conditional markets
Get αΉ€1,000 play money
3 Comments
Sort by:

democrat resolves NA

Next presidential term or next president, even if they do it on their second term? I know it's nitpicky but it feels like something the president might try to pull off in the end of their 2nd term.

@DanMan314 I originally had the first term in mind, but next president until 2032 sounds more interesting. Would it be too late to change this now?

Edit: This seems entirely compatible with the way that I first phrased this, so I moved the close date to 2032

Related questions