Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]
Mini
16
Ṁ1373
2030
98.6%
Demis Hassabis
96%
Daron Acemoglu
61%
Salman Rushdie
53%
David Deutsch
52%
Peter Zoller
52%
Gilles Brassard
50%
Can Xue
50%
Susumu Kitagawa
50%
Robert S Langer
50%
Krzysztof Matyjaszewski
50%
Jun Ye
50%
Elizaveta 'Monetochka' Gyrdymova
50%
Ed Boyden
48%
Charles Henry Bennett
47%
Olga Botner
46%
Peter Shor
43%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
36%
Chi-Huey Wong
35%
Omar Farha
35%
William Jorgesen

Any laureate who wins a Nobel prize will resolve YES at the time of winning. The others will resolve NO by the market close. Only prizes received after 2023 (when this market opened) count.

#Economics
#Science
#Physics
#Nobel Prizes
#Literature
#Chemistry
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Hope we soon get a search field for those type of market

William Jorgesen

Meant Jorgensen, but there is probably no homonimy risks

Am I allowed to submit answers after they are already true?

@Joshua No. I will clarify in the description

I mean prizes after this market is created, but where no one submitted them as an answer before it became true. But also as I type this, I realize this is no different from just making my own "Is 1+1 = 2" market so it is a silly question.

@Joshua Yes, that is allowed. There's no "other" option anyways so that can compensate for that

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