Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?
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2028
82%
chance

In the current South African lawsuit against Israel.

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Is such a large gap between this and the genocide market justified?

Why not? War crimes and a genocide are miles apart. I think the gap should be bigger.

Personally, I think there's 95% that Israel committed war crimes and 3% that there is or will be a genocide.

Damn this really was a steal at 30%