If a Democrat is elected president in 2024, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of their term?
27
แน€2915
2029
96%
chance

This will be resolved based on the first V-DEM report after his term (i.e. March 2029), which collects data up to and including 2028.'

https://v-dem.net/

If no Democrat is elected in 2024, this market will close NA (all mana returned).

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Hi everyone, I would like to change the resolution criteria to 'the first V-DEM report after his term (i.e. March 2029), which collects data up to and including 2028.'

I think this would be far more in line with the spirit of this question, and would capture any antics with the 2028 election, which is a big factor. Do people agree with this change?

Done.