Who will be elected president in 2028?
โž•
Plus
99
แน€24k
2028
24%
Gavin Newsom
21%
J.D. Vance
18%
Other
10%
Pete Buttigieg
7%
Gretchen Whitmer
6%
Josh Shapiro
3%
Kamala Harris
1.9%
Ted Cruz
1.6%
Donald Trump
1%
Mark Cuban
Getting in early
#๏ธ Politics
#๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics
Get แน€1,000 play money
11 Comments
Sort by:

another market on the same thing: https://manifold.markets/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj

Tim Walz

@Tetraspace 4% could be about right but I would think even lower. He's not running if Harris wins this year and VP nominees for losing candidates generally don't find success later.

bought แน€5 Tim Scott YES

Should add JD Vance

opened a แน€1,000 Answer #c01f2a6908bb NO at 25% order

Seems like this market is kind of broken post pivot? Needs some subsidisation

opened a แน€250 Gavin Newsom NO at 5% order

@Daniel_MC subsidized. Should be a tiny bit more stable now

@NivlacM seem much better now

Who is this?

Oh man, DeSantis-scenario is straight up dystopia. If you bet on that, you may as well bet on the end of the USoA. Florida-man in a suit. ๐Ÿ˜œ

Hypothetical future perennial candidate Donald Trump might go for another run
13% he becomes president * 50% he gets a second term
7% she becomes president * 50% she gets a second term?

Related questions