Will there be a civil war in Europe by the end of 2024

Plus

30

Ṁ3279

resolved Jan 6

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This prediction will be paid out if there is a major consensus from multiple countries that a civil war is occuring

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@ArmandodiMatteo (I don't have the liquidity to arbitrage this away and I'm too tired to liquidate any other position atm)

Must this be one nation fighting itself (US Civil War, Vietnam war…etc.) to qualify?

"Europe" by the geographical definition (to the watershed of the Urals, the Ural river, the Caspian Sea, the watershed of the Greater Caucasus, and the Black Sea)?

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