WIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030?
Mini
21
Ṁ12992031
40%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolves yes if AfD is part of the government of Germany (at the national level) at any point prior to December 31, 2030
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will the AfD receive >= 20% of votes in the 2025 German federal election?
99% chance
Will the FDP be part of the next German parliament?
2% chance
Which coalitions will be feasible after the 2025 German Bundestag election?
Will Germany need a three party coalition?
2% chance
Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?
97% chance
Will the far-right german party, Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), get the most seats in german parliament (2025)?
1% chance
Will the AfD win a constituency seat in Western Germany?
14% chance
Will the SPD or AFD receive more seats in the next federal election of Germany?
Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (AfD)
1% chance
In the 2025 German federal election, what percentage of the popular vote will AfD receive?