Scott Alexander's "In 2028, AI movie" market will be resolved in Q1 2028
Plus
13
Ṁ3522028
79%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener
If above market resolves between January 1st and March 31th of 2028, this market resolves YES, otherwise in resolves NO.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/grading-my-2018-predictions-for-2023
"All otherwise undated predictions are about 1/1/2028."
Related questions
Related questions
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
43% chance
Will Scott Alexander judge a specific candidate movie to resolve his 2028 AI movie market?
65% chance
Derivatives markets: Will Scott Alexander's "2028 AI movie market" be above 50% on Jan 1 in each year?
If the big 2028 AI Movie market resolves YES, which of the following will be true 3 months later?
Will AI generates film (not video) by using a person's script before 2026
57% chance
Will I (robm) agree with the resolution to the 2028 AI generated movie market?
61% chance
Will there be a blockbuster movie in the US before the end of 2025 that is acknowledged as written by AI
10% chance
Who will create the first AI model to generate a high quality movie before 2028?
will the "AI movie to a prompt" market stay above 65% for a week straight before the end of 2025?
24% chance
Will OpenAI release a high-quality AI generated movie by the end of 2028?
20% chance