Multiple options can resolve YES based on the date that OpenAI generally releases its o1 model (or whatever the Project Strawberry chain-of-thought model is called when released) that was originally released in preview as o1-preview.
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@JaundicedBaboon There was a short time where you could access the o1 model by going to https://chatgpt.com/?model=o1 a couple weeks ago. Also this market has very little mana in it.
@JaundicedBaboon Personally, I'm betting for ''before december" because I think o1 is ready and they're holding out on release because they want to release it on ChatGPT's second anniversary (Nov 30). Let's see if I'll be right about this.
@NeuralBets Personally I suspect they will time it to Gemini 2.0's release so I'm thinking early December. We'll see