Will OpenAI launch a model even more expensive than o1-pro in 2025?
Will OpenAI launch a model even more expensive than o1-pro in 2025?
22
Ṁ2109
2026
67%
chance

OpenAI has launched two very expensive language models recently (GPT 4.5, o1-pro). If they launch any language model in 2025 that costs over $600 per million tokens (input or output) in their API this market resolves YES.

This will be based off numbers as shown on the OpenAI API pricing page, I may ignore a new model if it has unusual pricing that makes it difficult to compare.

  • Update 2025-03-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Ignored Models and Resolution Outcomes

    • Ignored Models: If a model is ignored due to unusual pricing, it cannot trigger a YES outcome.

    • Outcome: The market will not be marked as N/A; if no qualifying model is launched, the resolution is NO.

#️ Technology
#AI
#OpenAI
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23d

@TonyPepperoni

I may ignore a new model if it has unusual pricing that makes it difficult to compare.

Just to confirm: To ignore such a model would cause this to resolve No? Or N/A?

23d

@Primer If I ignore a model it just means it can’t cause the market to resolve YES. I don’t plan on this market N/Aing

23d

@TonyPepperoni Thanks for the quick and clear feedback.

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