MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will a new ARPA-AI agency be established during the 119th Congress?
Mini
1
Ṁ349
2026
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

As advocated by Miles Brundage here.

#AI
#OpenAI
#AGI
#AI Safety
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?
26% chance
What AI regulations will the US Congress pass into law before January 3, 2027? [ADD ANSWERS]
Will any lawmakers use the threat of AI to justify funding space exploration before 2026?
24% chance
Will a substantial number of legal arbitrations use an ai arbitration by January 1, 2029?
44% chance
Will the US Federal Government spend more than 1/1000th of its budget on AI Safety by 2028?
12% chance
Will the US government enact legislation before 2026 that substantially slows US AI progress?
17% chance
Will there be a NY State AI Safety bill in 2025?
63% chance
Will the 119th Congress be more productive than the 118th Congress?
59% chance
Will much AI research be nationalized by 2027?
23% chance

Related questions

If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?
26% chance
Will the US government enact legislation before 2026 that substantially slows US AI progress?
17% chance
What AI regulations will the US Congress pass into law before January 3, 2027? [ADD ANSWERS]
Will there be a NY State AI Safety bill in 2025?
63% chance
Will any lawmakers use the threat of AI to justify funding space exploration before 2026?
24% chance
Will the 119th Congress be more productive than the 118th Congress?
59% chance
Will a substantial number of legal arbitrations use an ai arbitration by January 1, 2029?
44% chance
Will much AI research be nationalized by 2027?
23% chance
Will the US Federal Government spend more than 1/1000th of its budget on AI Safety by 2028?
12% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout