Will the US government enact legislation before 2026 that substantially slows US AI progress?
Plus
66
Ṁ3052Jan 1
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to my subjective judgment.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will the US regulate AI development by end of 2025?
15% chance
Will there be a global "pause" on cutting-edge AI research due to government regulation by 2025?
5% chance
Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2026?
79% chance
Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026?
36% chance
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny ≥100 countries)
6% chance
Will the US ban AI models produced in China in 2025?
10% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny ≥100 countries)
23% chance
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny some entities)
19% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny some entities)
82% chance
Will AI get regulated after the US president election until the end of 2025?
42% chance