Which of the following users will stay active on manifold until EOY 2025?

At the beginning of 2026, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?

Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?

Will more than half the US population actively work with AI daily by 2027?

🐕 Will AI Be Able to Gain a Much Broader Academic and Professional Understanding by the End of 2024?

Will an AI model outperform 95% of Manifold users on accuracy before 2026?

Will any AI model achieve > 40% on Frontier Math before 2026?

What percent of enrolled MIT students will have undergone artificial gain of intelligence at the end of 2030?

Will any AI be able to formalize >=90% of IMO problems by the start of 2025?

Will openAI have the most accurate LLM across most benchmarks by EOY 2024?