Will GPT-5, GTA 6, or Civ 7 release first?
71
Ṁ9765
2026
33%
GPT-5
1.5%
GTA 6
65%
Civ 7

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I think o1 means GPT5 will take a backseat for a while

reposted

I'm new here, just trying the repost thing, anyway I go with GPT-5 🙂

sold Ṁ706 GTA 6 NO

(I will not trade on this market anymore)

GPT-5
bought Ṁ100 GPT-5 YES

Civ 7 has already been announced for release in February, so this should roughly match this market:

https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-feb-20-5a18f221c267?r=VGltb3RoeUpvaG5zb241YzE2

bought Ṁ100 GPT-5 NO

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Sure, but maybe we're betting that Civ7 will be delayed