Will the US stock market have experienced another lost decade before 2034?
Will the US stock market have experienced another lost decade before 2034?
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Plus
14
Ṁ265
2034
34%
chance

For the purpose of this market, a lost decade is defined as a 10-year period where the S&P500 ends at the same level it started.

Intraday extrema will be used to resolve this question, not closing or opening prices.

Note: The start date of that decade can predate market creation. For example, if the SPX dropped below 1,729.44 on Monday, September 18th, 2023 (2 days after market creation), then the question would resolve to YES, since the high-point on September 18th, 2013, was 1,729.44.

#Financial crisis
#Investing
#Black Swan
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bought Ṁ50 YES8d

Fast tracking it

1y

Is this USD-denominated? Because if so then the S&P500 has to fall in real value by the inverse of inflation.

1y

@Lsusr I will use SPX, so yes USD-denominated. No inflation adjustments.

boughtṀ20YES
reposted6d
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