Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
➕
Plus
50
Ṁ9845
Dec 31
19%
Anthropic
8%
DeepSeek
3%
Meta
1.8%
Alibaba
1.6%
Cohere
Resolved
YES
OpenAI
Resolved
YES
Google
Resolved
YES
xAI

https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard

  • All companies that have a model at the top of the leaderboard at any point in 2025

  • At the top is defined as having the highest Elo score on the leaderboard

/jim/which-companies-will-top-chatbot-ar-RQp5CdN0uE

/jim/which-companies-will-top-chatbot-ar-quZQ5SlISh

/jim/which-companies-will-top-chatbot-ar-h06UutOO8y

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Anthropic
bought Ṁ100 Anthropic NO

Anthropic seems way too high here, with Claude 3.7 currently in 20th place on the leaderboard, well over 100 points behind the leaders.

bought Ṁ10 Anthropic YES
Google

@jim happy new year, this is a YES

Resolves to a single winner? Top 3? What are the criteria?

@ProjectVictory resolves to all that have a model at the top of the leaderboard at any point in 2025.

@jim But what is defined as "at the top"? Top 1? Top 2? Top 3? Top 5? Top 10? Top 100?

@komplexkonjugat Having the highest Elo score on the leaderboard.

bought Ṁ50 Cohere NO

@jim so it will only resolve to more than one company if two or more models from different companies have exactly the same Elo?

@komplexkonjugat It's at any point in 2025, so there could be multiple leaders at different times.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 that was the part I was missing, thanks.