
How will Netanyahu leave office?
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4%
Knesset finishes its four year term, and he loses next election
42%
Knesset votes itself out, and he loses next election
0.9%
He resigns
6%
Vote of constructive non-confidence
4%
He dies of natural causes
1.7%
He is assassinated
41%
Other
Resolves as soon as Netanyahu is not prime minister of Israel.
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@josharian I’ve increased my bid on other assuming you will resolve other in that case. I believe it is highly likely to happen like this in 2026.
Knesset votes itself out, and he loses next election
@Shump I’ve verified this. 61 PMs or more can definitely vote the Knesset out.
Source (Hebrew): https://www.idi.org.il/articles/39151
@Shump But won’t such a crisis simply lead to an election by a vote? How is this “other”?
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