When will ClaudePlaysPokemon defeat Giovanni in Silph Co? (Extended)
6
Ṁ2253
2026
1%
Before Dec 16
14%
Before Dec 19
30%
Before Dec 23
46%
Before Dec 30
54%
Before Jan 6, 2026
63%
Before Jan 13
68%
Before Jan 20
71%
Before Jan 27
73%
Before Feb 3
75%
Before Feb 10

All dates are Pacific Time. Based on the current Opus 4.5 run only; if it is reset before defeating Giovanni all answers resolve NO.

#Claude
#Pokemon
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bought Ṁ40 Before Feb 10 YES

I realized a bug in the mathematical model I was using and the updated version is slightly more optimistic!

Note that the buckets aren't equal here; they get larger at first and then they're a week each.

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