There is speculation that the Trump administration intends to impose secondary sanctions or tariffs on Russia -- that is, automatic sanctions on any country whose government does not itself sanction Russia (specifically, tariffs on countries that purchase Russian oil).
This question resolves YES if such sanctions or tariffs are imposed and take effect, either by an act of Congress or an executive order, for any amount of time at all (even if, for instance, a court enjoins them a day later).
At the end of the resolution period (December 31) it resolves YES if sanctions or tariffs have been announced in an apparently legal manner with a concrete date of application, or NO otherwise.
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https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/aug/27/trump-tariff-india-russian-oil-purchase
Comes into effect midnight tonight notionally; I'll resolve this as soon as I can see some confirmation that that happened.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1w83j35jjjo
20 day timer, nominally. Of course this admin and deadlines... well.
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/08/04/us/trump-news
Well there's the first concrete threat; with the Modi government not interested in compromise and Congress checked out, it's down to TACO theory and the USCIT IEEPA case to pull things back from the brink.
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2025/07/13/politics/russia-sanctions-bill-trump-senators-bipartisan
... And there's the announcement. Secondary tariffs on countries that buy Russian oil
Axios is reporting a fifty day ultimatum; given how flexible number-of-days ultimata have proven with this administration i'd call that far from a sure thing.