Will GPT-5 have an estimated IQ higher than 101?
Plus
18
Ṁ496Dec 31
79%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Maxim Lott's analysis, when Claude 3 was released, is the basis for this question. A similar analysis will likely be published when GPT-5 is released, and that will be the basis for resolving this prediction.
https://www.maximumtruth.org/p/ais-ranked-by-iq-ai-passes-100-iq
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
@PhilosophyBear my question was based on this article from Maxim Lott (https://www.maximumtruth.org/p/ais-ranked-by-iq-ai-passes-100-iq)
If you have a measurement instrument in mind, please suggest -- otherwise, I would use a similar analysis to this once it is released (which will surely be done for GPT-5).
Related questions
Related questions
Will GPT-5 be released before Jul 2025?
72% chance
Will GPT-5 have over 1 trillion parameters?
86% chance
Will GPT-5 come out before 2027?
87% chance
Will GPT-5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?
89% chance
GPT 4.5 Intelligence (higher options)
Will GPT-4.5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?
75% chance
What will be true about GPT-5? (See description)
Will GPT-5 reach a 1000 rating on Codeforces?
95% chance
Will GPT-5 have a rating of at least 2000 in chess?
48% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Apr 2025?
16% chance