Starship Flight 10 successfully deploys a payload? | Manifold

Starship Flight 10 successfully deploys a payload?

9

Ṁ268

Dec 31

57%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Mass Sim / dummy payload counts. In the off-chance flight 10 isn't intended to attempt a payload deployment, this shifts to flight 11, 12, etc, until some flight is planned with a payload.

Update 2025-08-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A suborbital payload deployment will count for a YES resolution, provided the deployment was intended.

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Does it need to deploy to orbit? Or would a suborbital trajectory count (as was intended for the dummy starlinks on some of the past flights)?

@Nat suborbital counts, provided that it’s intended.

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