๐Ÿ—“๏ธ2024 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (54 DONE)
75
แน€22k
Jan 1
54%
new iphone release date in the USA
54%
Frostpunk 2 releases
56%
Imu face reveal in One Piece manga
57%
Jimmy Carter passes away
57%
Earthquake magnitude 7.8 or higher somewhere in the world
57%
the second Solar eclipse of the year
57%
First game of the MLB World Series starts
58%
EOD Lief Erikson Day - Oct 9
58%
Joseph Anderson releases long awaited Witcher 3 video
58%
this market reaches 100 traders
59%
EOD Halloween - Oct 31
59%
Last game of the MLB World Series ends
59%
the fourth Pacific hurricane of the season
61%
From Software announces a new game AND it has a released trailer
61%
USA presidential election is called by the AP & NYT
62%
Israel and Hamas announce another temporary ceasefire OR permanent ceasefire OR conflict otherwise ends
62%
EOD Thanksgiving - Nov 28
62%
this market reaches 10k individual TRADES
62%
CGP Grey releases a new video (not a reupload)
66%
Prong.Studio releases a 3rd product (not an accessory or part for an existing one)

README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:

  • 1st event: 1% (happens soonest)

  • 2nd event: 2% (happens next)

    ...

  • 100th event: 100% (happens latest)


Any events that do not happen by EOY 2024 will be resolved 100% YES.

Get แน€1,000 play money
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@strutheo So resolvable we have:

52% 3rd Pacific hurricane, Hone, 25 Aug

Iphone reveal 10th, but officially releases 20 Sept, so not yet?

53% 4th Atlantic hurricane, Francine 10 September
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/al06/al062024.public_a.009.shtml?

bought แน€1 Answer #a7626b37ad12 YES

looks like frostpunk is also sept 20 but i will count iphone first since they have preorders and such open, and frostpunk wont release until later in the day possible

bought แน€2 Answer #647daf717f77 NO

@strutheo ^ hasn't been resolved.:
East Pacific Carlotte & Gilma and Central Pacific Hone
Just noting this again from Aug 24th before iphone release.

reposted

over halfway done!

jective intensity estimates from 
UW-CIMSS range from 61-68 kt.  Based on these subjective and 
objective intensity estimates, the initial intensity is bumped up to 
65 kt, making Gilma the second hurricane of the 2024 East Pacific 
hurricane season.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDEP2+shtml/210849.shtml

@strutheo
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/ERNESTO.shtml?
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/al05/al052024.discus.012.shtml?
1100 AM AST Wed Aug 14 2024
Based on these data, Ernesto is upgraded to a 65-kt hurricane.

@strutheo
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#03E
reports Hurricane Carlotte so NHC will very probably report this before this hour is up.

https://store.epicgames.com/en-US/p/world-of-goo-2
still says coming soon but timing could be hard to pin down later and it might be available elsewhere already?

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
...CARLOTTA BECOMES A HURRICANE...

Yeah world of goo is confusing me too I might na it if I can't find the date

can buy now. (was "coming soon" when NHC said hurricane Carlotte)

73 falcon 9 launches including 1 failed second stage burn prior to deployment plus 2 Starship is 75 launches, even if it is only 74 successful launches.

Not aware of others so I think 75 SpaceX launches resolves 45%.

The start of Amazon Prime Day 2024 has passed

bought แน€4 Answer #e0e7a95b1e8d NO

@strutheo Ended

@strutheo
Previously said
"This game is not yet available on Steam

Planned Release Date: 11 Jul, 2024

This game plans to unlock in approximately 1 hour!
https://store.steampowered.com/app/1978590/Anger_Foot/?curator_clanid=4777282
now says
"Buy Anger Foot"

Looked through a several but not all others without finding anything.

When does a trial end? Not guilty verdict or sentencing if guilty? Or just at verdict?

reposted

up to 40 now!!

date is july 16

dont see any others to resolve before 4 July so I believe that can be resolved at 40%

can @mods na that one pls

why are we n/aing it as opposed to % resolving it?

discovered after trump debate but happened before that. Has been replaced by trump immunity supreme court decision

My b but % would ruin this format

ok i'm fine n/aing it, you still want that?