🎃What will happen in October 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
46
Ṁ6976
Nov 1
98%
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation continues to meet or exceed 95%
94%
Joe Biden is President on October 31, 2024 at 11:59:59pm EST
93%
Debate between Tim Walz and JD Vance
92%
Francis is Pope for the entire month
87%
Tesla catches fire as reported by news or by tesla-fire.com
83%
Something is called an "October surprise" by Fox, CNN, NYT, or AP
81%
At least one share of nVidia stock is traded above $100 during normal, premarket, or after hours trading
69%
An event that could be considered an October Surprise, as judged by chris (strutheo), occurs
67%
A YouTube video specifically about octagons, octogenarians, octopi, Doctor Octopus, Emperor Octavian, the Oculus Rift, or Occultism is posted and gets >1M views
59%
BTC falls below $60k
48%
T1 advances to the playoffs in the League of Legends World Championship
44%
@strutheo sees someone dressed as "The Unknown" (from the Willy Wonka experience) for Halloween
38%
Phillies advance to the World Series
32%
Astros make the ALCS
31%
>= 28% of Manifold respondents agree that weak AGI has been achieved in the monthly poll
26%
NASDAQ hits an all time high
21%
Ukranians completely pushed out of Russian territory
17%
Weak AGI exists at any point during the month, as defined by the Metaculus market on the topic having previously resolved YES
16%
Two debates between Tim Walz and JD Vance
13%
8.0+ magnitude earthquake

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

#Culture
#World
#Grab Bag
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#CoolFold
#2024
#What Will Happen Markets
#October
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@SteveSokolowski if it launches in September does this resolve no?

@EstMtz Yes, it resolves NO.

Just as a reminder to @strutheo, all nVidia stock prices on all markets were posted before the stock split was announced. He should edit all of his markets and divide the projected nVidia stock prices by 10 for clarity.

I'll edit yeah

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