Will Bitcoin reach $90K by the end of 2024?
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12
Ṁ2366
resolved Nov 13
Resolved
YES

multiple sources of truth pls

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bought Ṁ500 YES

Resolves yes @strutheo

Spot Bitcoin on Coinbase was briefly north of 90k, fwiw.

What resolution criteria? Already briefly above $90k on Coinbase.

i hvnt seen it hit yet, news isnt reporting it yet

@strutheo Coinmarketcap isn't over 90k, Coinbase was. That's why I asked what source you were using.

[deleted]

@WilliamGunn hmm 30 min ago this came out 'closing in oin 90k' , ill see if an update happens , no news seem to report this as hitting 90k, and also bitcoin isnt really a traditional exchange because they bundle sales right

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/11/crypto-market-action-today.html1

@strutheo I have no idea what you're talking about. Look at all the other markets here. They say something like "Source of truth is CoinMarketCap". You should include what you're using to resolve.

@WilliamGunn none of them resolved yet afaik im checking though

@WilliamGunn that quote says Nov "Nano Bitcoin Futures," whatever that is it isn’t the spot BTC price on Coinbase. This is what I see for Coinbase’s BTC spot via TradingView:

@strutheo I'm going to make a 4th attempt to make myself understood, because you create a lot of markets and it would be high - leverage for you to improve.

When you create a market about a numerical outcome, you should include the source of truth in the resolution criteria. Do you understand what I mean by "source of truth"? For numerical outcomes, it's going to be a primary data source, not journalism. For example, CoinMarketCap for crypto prices or CME for commodities prices. Get it? https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/agriculture/livestock/lean-hogs.html

@deagol Yes, good point, and relevant if Coinbase spot prices are the resolution criteria. Hopefully the resolution criteria will be updated.

@WilliamGunn in my experience @strutheo handles these resolutions objectively, usually Google but sometimes has something like “at least two main exchanges or sources”. The empty description here is quite the exception for this creator.

my b i might have missed a description

ill refund lmk how much @WilliamGunn

@strutheo don’t think they ever had a position here, but surely would have in case this was already free mana on Y, so they asked? Since it isn’t yet, perhaps won’t risk it?

@deagol @strutheo No position, just noticed this while looking through related markets & thought I could offer some helpful feedback.