Will an impeachment or criminal conviction stop Trump from running in the 2024 presidential elections? (by end of 2024)
17
แน€1486
Jan 2
10%
chance

Will an impeachment or criminal conviction stop Trump from running in the 2024 presidential elections? (by end of 2024)

Note: If there's a conviction that disqualifies Trump from running as a president, this market will wait for any subsequent appeals to determine whether the ban holds.

Get แน€1,000 play money
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Close date is incorrect

@JoshuaB It's fixed now. Thanks for bringing it to my attention.

nvm

@Akzzz123 What happens if heโ€™s found guilty of a crime that would ban him, but then he appeals and the appeal decides that heโ€™s not banned?

@Gabrielle That's a good question. I am inclined to create two separate markets - one based on any conviction that would disqualify Trump and one based on whether those bans ultimately hold or not.

Would others be okay with that? And which version should this market follow? If there is no strong disagreement, I will reopen this market, else will resolve to N/A and create two separate markets.

@Akzzz123 I was assuming the latter, whether it would eventually hold.

@Gabrielle Okay. I will wait for a day or two and if there are no objections, we can use the latter definition for this market.

@Akzzz123 The market criteria had been updated.