Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2023?
➕
Plus
41
Ṁ5435
2026
74%
chance

Resolve according to the "mean" average temperature reported in this webpage
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/temperature-anomaly

resolves to 50% in terms of a tie.

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bought Ṁ50 NO

Berkeley Earth is saying 70% after January, though February has been relatively colder https://berkeleyearth.org/january-2025-temperature-update/