This market has a great deal of certainty that this year will buck the trend.

@AlanTennant Well if you think it is wrong to give it such certainty then take a (bigger than 10 mana) punt.

I wouldn't recommend it though as the experts agree, like most years, not this year. The trend is upwards but there is "noise" so most years are not record high temp years unless they have an El Nino helping them. We also have 8 months of data for the year so far.