
When will DeepSeek release V4?
Plus
27
Ṁ48422026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0.9%
Before June 2025
33%
Before July 2025
46%
Before August 2025
61%
Before September 2025
76%
Before October 2025
83%
Before November 2025
88%
Before December 2025
Minor changes to the name, such as using "V5" instead of "V4", are acceptable when determining the release.
To count as released, the model must be accessible to some people outside DeepSeek. if it's banned in the US but releases in China this market would still resolve YES. If it is available through some API only this counts as a release.
See also:
/Bayesian/when-will-openai-announce-o4
/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt45-ULpyUuqd2L
/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-an-open-so
/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2
/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4 (this market)
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
When will Deepseek R2 be released?
-
When will DeepSeek release R2?
"Holy shit!" -> my reaction to deepseek r1. Will I feel the same about any AI developments in the next 5 months?
52% chance
When will Deepseek V4 be released?
-
Will DeepSeek's next reasoning model be called R3?
1% chance
Will DeepSeek R2 be open source?
83% chance
Will DeepSeek's next reasoning model be open-sourced?
83% chance
Will there be an open replication of DeepSeek v3 for <$10m?
39% chance
will DeepSeek become a closed AI lab by EOY?
25% chance
Will DeepSeek remain available on US iOS App Store until January 1, 2026? (no ban or removal)
78% chance