When will DeepSeek release V4?
➕
Plus
43
Ṁ10k
Jan 1
19%
Before November 2025
36%
Before December 2025
46%
Before 2026

Minor changes to the name, such as using "V5" instead of "V4", are acceptable when determining the release.

To count as released, the model must be accessible to some people outside DeepSeek. if it's banned in the US but releases in China this market would still resolve YES. If it is available through some API only this counts as a release.

See also:

/Bayesian/when-will-google-release-gemini-3

/Bayesian/when-will-xai-release-grok-5

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt6

/Bayesian/when-will-anthropic-release-claude-qZd5QEQ225

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4 (this market)

/Bayesian/when-will-meta-release-llama-5-6h9UypqOdp

/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-a-browser

/Bayesian/when-will-xai-release-grokipedia

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-their-next

/Bayesian/when-will-thinking-machines-announc

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Before August 2025
bought Ṁ512 Before August 2025 NO

@Bayesian Resolves NO

Before July 2025
bought Ṁ350 Before July 2025 NO

@Bayesian plese resolve NO

Before May 2025

@Bayesian resolves no?

Before April 2025

@Bayesian Resolves NO