When will DeepSeek release V4?
➕
Plus
27
Ṁ4842
2026
0.9%
Before June 2025
33%
Before July 2025
46%
Before August 2025
61%
Before September 2025
76%
Before October 2025
83%
Before November 2025
88%
Before December 2025

Minor changes to the name, such as using "V5" instead of "V4", are acceptable when determining the release.

To count as released, the model must be accessible to some people outside DeepSeek. if it's banned in the US but releases in China this market would still resolve YES. If it is available through some API only this counts as a release.

See also:

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-announce-o4

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt45-ULpyUuqd2L

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-an-open-so

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4 (this market)

/Bayesian/when-will-xai-release-grok-4

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Before May 2025

@Bayesian resolves no?

Before April 2025

@Bayesian Resolves NO