Joe Rogan announces conversion to Christianity before July 1st 2025
Joe Rogan announces conversion to Christianity before July 1st 2025
Plus
65
Ṁ11kJun 30
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market resolves YES if Joe Rogan publicly announces his conversion to Christianity on his podcast, social media, or in a public interview before July 1st, 2025. Must be an explicit statement of conversion/acceptance of Christian faith, not just expressing interest or having discussions about it. Resolution based on public statements from Rogan himself or verified media reports.
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bought Ṁ250 NO3mo
On one hand, NO looks like easy money. On the other hand, the market creator spent 1K for the market and has bet another 2.5K on YES.
Surely they have their reasons, but assuming that they're good ones is always a little iffy, especially when it comes to religion. Hmm.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with
Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
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